Electorates
Election day. While voting is open (until 7pm), this page shows only who's standing. Past results and everything else return when polls close at 7pm. Find your nearest voting place
All 71 electorates
- Auckland Central
- Banks Peninsula
- Botany
- Christchurch Central
- Christchurch East
- Coromandel
- Dunedin
- East Cape
- East Coast Bays
- Epsom
- Glendene
- Hamilton East
- Hamilton West
- Hauraki-Waikato Māori
- Henderson
- Hutt South
- Ikaroa-Rāwhiti Māori
- Ilam
- Invercargill
- Kaikōura
- Kaipara ki Mahurangi
- Kapiti
- Kenepuru
- Māngere
- Manurewa
- Maungakiekie
- Mt Albert
- Mt Maunganui
- Mt Roskill
- Napier
- Nelson
- New Plymouth
- North Shore
- Northcote
- Northland
- Ōtāhuhu
- Pakuranga
- Palmerston North
- Papakura
- Port Waikato
- Rangitata
- Rangitīkei
- Remutaka
- Rotorua
- Selwyn
- Southland
- Taieri
- Takanini
- Tāmaki
- Tāmaki Makaurau Māori
- Taranaki-King Country
- Taupō
- Tauranga
- Te Tai Hauāuru Māori
- Te Tai Tokerau Māori
- Te Tai Tonga Māori
- Tukituki
- Upper Harbour
- Waiariki Māori
- Waikato
- Waimakariri
- Wairarapa
- Waitākere
- Waitaki
- Wellington Bays
- Wellington North
- West Coast-Tasman
- Whanganui
- Whangaparāoa
- Whangārei
- Wigram
New Zealand has 71 electorates in 2026: 64 general and 7 Māori. On the 2023 results (recalculated on the 2025 boundaries where they changed), they split National 45, Labour 16, Te Pāti Māori 6, Green 2, ACT 2.
How close are they?
- 6 knife-edge
under 2 points - 6 marginal
2–5 points - 12 fairly safe
5–10 points - 47 safe
10+ points
What the polls suggest
8 seats would change hands on the current poll average
- Wellington NorthGreen gain from Labourby about 1.1 pts
- Banks PeninsulaLabour gain from Nationalby about 7.4 pts
- HendersonLabour gain from Nationalby about 5.8 pts
- West Coast-TasmanLabour gain from Nationalby about 5.8 pts
- Hutt SouthLabour gain from Nationalby about 5.7 pts
- WairarapaLabour gain from Nationalby about 1.6 pts
- WigramLabour gain from Nationalby about 1.0 pts
- East CapeLabour gain from Nationalby about 0.1 pts
National 28.1% −10.0Labour 27.9% +1.0Green 14.7% +3.0ACT 10.1% +1.5NZ First 10.6% +4.5Opportunity 5.9% +3.7
Poll average, with the change in each party's vote since 2023.
How this works: each seat's 2023 margin moves by three-quarters of the change in the two leading parties' party vote since 2023 (the calculator's default). It's an illustration of uniform swing, not a forecast. It only covers general seats won by National or Labour in 2023: Māori seats and seats held by smaller parties are left out because national swings are a poor guide there.
Which polls are in the average?
The latest poll from each of 6 pollsters, with fieldwork ending between 28 September 2026 and 27 October 2026:
- RNZ–Reid Research: 20–26 Oct 2026
- 1 News–Verian: 21–25 Oct 2026
- The Post/Freshwater Strategy: 9–19 Oct 2026
- Anacta: 6–10 Oct 2026
- Taxpayers' Union–Curia: 1–5 Oct 2026
- Roy Morgan: 31 Aug – 27 Sep 2026
Every electorate, closest first
| Electorate | Ahead (2023 votes, new boundaries) | Margin | Swing to flip | Poll average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson | Labour over National | 0.1 | 0.1 | Labour |
| Tāmaki Makaurau Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 0.2 | 0.1 | not modelled |
| Wellington North | Labour over Green | 0.5 | 0.3 | Green gain |
| Banks Peninsula | National over Labour | 0.8 | 0.4 | Labour gain |
| Waitākere | Labour over National | 0.9 | 0.5 | Labour |
| Te Tai Tokerau Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 1.9 | 1.0 | not modelled |
| Henderson | National over Labour | 2.4 | 1.2 | Labour gain |
| West Coast-Tasman | National over Labour | 2.4 | 1.2 | Labour gain |
| Hutt South | National over Labour | 2.5 | 1.3 | Labour gain |
| Palmerston North | Labour over National | 3.5 | 1.8 | Labour |
| Taieri | Labour over National | 3.5 | 1.8 | Labour |
| Mt Albert | Labour over National | 3.7 | 1.9 | Labour |
| Auckland Central | Green over National | 6.4 | 3.2 | not modelled |
| Wairarapa | National over Labour | 6.6 | 3.3 | Labour gain |
| Wigram | National over Labour | 7.2 | 3.6 | Labour gain |
| Christchurch East | Labour over National | 7.4 | 3.7 | Labour |
| Christchurch Central | Labour over National | 7.5 | 3.8 | Labour |
| Glendene | Labour over National | 7.5 | 3.8 | Labour |
| East Cape | National over Labour | 8.1 | 4.1 | Labour gain |
| Wellington Bays | Green over Labour | 8.6 | 4.3 | not modelled |
| Kapiti | National over Labour | 9.0 | 4.5 | National |
| Tāmaki | ACT over National | 9.1 | 4.6 | not modelled |
| Mt Roskill | National over Labour | 9.2 | 4.6 | National |
| Ikaroa-Rāwhiti Māori | Labour over Te Pāti Māori | 9.8 | 4.9 | not modelled |
| Te Tai Tonga Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 10.1 | 5.1 | not modelled |
| Maungakiekie | National over Labour | 11.5 | 5.8 | National |
| Hauraki-Waikato Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 12.0 | 6.0 | not modelled |
| Northland | National over Labour | 12.4 | 6.2 | National |
| Hamilton East | National over Labour | 13.7 | 6.9 | National |
| Whanganui | National over Labour | 15.3 | 7.7 | National |
| Kenepuru | Labour over National | 16.3 | 8.2 | Labour |
| New Plymouth | National over Labour | 16.5 | 8.3 | National |
| Epsom | ACT over National | 16.9 | 8.5 | not modelled |
| Hamilton West | National over Labour | 17.3 | 8.7 | National |
| Dunedin | Labour over National | 19.1 | 9.6 | Labour |
| Ilam | National over Opportunity | 19.7 | 9.9 | National |
| Rangitīkei | National over Labour | 20.0 | 10.0 | National |
| Remutaka | Labour over National | 20.5 | 10.3 | Labour |
| Tukituki | National over Labour | 23.5 | 11.8 | National |
| Northcote | National over Labour | 23.7 | 11.9 | National |
| Napier | National over Labour | 23.8 | 11.9 | National |
| Takanini | National over Labour | 24.1 | 12.1 | National |
| Manurewa | Labour over National | 24.4 | 12.2 | Labour |
| Tauranga | National over Labour | 26.0 | 13.0 | National |
| Rotorua | National over Labour | 26.1 | 13.1 | National |
| Rangitata | National over Labour | 27.1 | 13.6 | National |
| Whangārei | National over Labour | 27.4 | 13.7 | National |
| Kaikōura | National over Labour | 27.5 | 13.8 | National |
| Invercargill | National over Labour | 27.6 | 13.8 | National |
| Waitaki | National over Labour | 27.8 | 13.9 | National |
| Waimakariri | National over Labour | 28.3 | 14.2 | National |
| Ōtāhuhu | Labour over National | 28.6 | 14.3 | Labour |
| Port Waikato | National over Labour | 30.3 | 15.1 | National |
| Papakura | National over Labour | 30.4 | 15.2 | National |
| Mt Maunganui | National over Labour | 31.2 | 15.6 | National |
| Taranaki-King Country | National over Labour | 35.1 | 17.6 | National |
| Te Tai Hauāuru Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 35.9 | 18.0 | not modelled |
| Upper Harbour | National over Labour | 37.0 | 18.5 | National |
| Coromandel | National over Labour | 37.5 | 18.8 | National |
| Taupō | National over Labour | 38.4 | 19.2 | National |
| North Shore | National over Labour | 40.3 | 20.2 | National |
| Māngere | Labour over National | 40.7 | 20.4 | Labour |
| Kaipara ki Mahurangi | National over Labour | 41.0 | 20.5 | National |
| Selwyn | National over Labour | 42.0 | 21.0 | National |
| Southland | National over Labour | 43.5 | 21.8 | National |
| Waikato | National over Labour | 44.3 | 22.2 | National |
| Whangaparāoa | National over Labour | 50.5 | 25.3 | National |
| Pakuranga | National over Labour | 52.7 | 26.4 | National |
| East Coast Bays | National over Labour | 53.1 | 26.6 | National |
| Botany | National over Labour | 53.9 | 27.0 | National |
| Waiariki Māori | Te Pāti Māori over Labour | 56.4 | 28.2 | not modelled |
This table is for 2026: who the 2023 votes would have put ahead on the 2026 boundaries, and by how many points (estimates by The Tally Room where boundaries changed; for the actual 2023 result, open the electorate). "Swing to flip" is half the margin.