Electorates › Botany
Botany
General electorate · boundaries changed in 2025 · Safe · 53.9 pts on 2026 boundaries (est.)
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Christopher Luxon (National) won Botany by 16,323 votes over Kharag Singh (Labour). The candidate vote split National 67.8% to Labour 23.1%, a margin of 44.7 points. Its boundaries have changed for 2026, so the 2026 seat isn't exactly the same area that voted in 2023.
The 2023 winner, Christopher Luxon, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 59.0%, ahead of Labour on 20.5%.
What it would take to change hands
On the 2026 boundaries, the 2023 votes would put National 53.9 points ahead of Labour (an estimate by The Tally Room). Labour would need a swing of about 27.0 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 45.7 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Botany candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Ali Dahche | ACT New Zealand | #28 |
| Anae Neru Leavasa 2nd in Takanini in 2023 | Labour Party | #31 |
| Christopher Luxon Won here in 2023 MP for Botany | National Party | #1 |
| Craig H. Stobo | New Zealand First Party | #8 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.