Electorates › Banks Peninsula
Banks Peninsula
General electorate · Knife-edge · 0.8 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Vanessa Weenink (National) won Banks Peninsula by 396 votes over Tracey McLellan (Labour). The candidate vote split National 36.5% to Labour 35.7%, a margin of 0.8 points.
The 2023 winner, Vanessa Weenink, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 32.0%, ahead of Labour on 26.6%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 0.4 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), Labour would take the seat by about 7.4 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Banks Peninsula candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Tracey McLellan 2nd here in 2023 List MP | Labour Party | #28 |
| Craig Pauling | Green Party | #14 |
| Lesley Margaret Sales | New Zealand Loyal | #8 |
| John Stringer | New Zealand First Party | #47 |
| Kyle Turnbull | Alliance Party | #5 |
| AmyLorraine Turner | Conservative Party NZ | #8 |
| Vanessa Weenink Won here in 2023 MP for Banks Peninsula | National Party | #38 |
| Zac Wellman | ACT New Zealand | #31 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.