Electorates › Takanini
Takanini
General electorate · boundaries changed in 2025 · Safe · 24.1 pts on 2026 boundaries (est.)
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Rima Nakhle (National) won Takanini by 8,775 votes over Anae Neru Leavasa (Labour). The candidate vote split National 57.9% to Labour 34.8%, a margin of 23.2 points. Its boundaries have changed for 2026, so the 2026 seat isn't exactly the same area that voted in 2023.
The 2023 winner, Rima Nakhle, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 53.0%, ahead of Labour on 28.1%.
What it would take to change hands
On the 2026 boundaries, the 2023 votes would put National 24.1 points ahead of Labour (an estimate by The Tally Room). Labour would need a swing of about 12.1 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 15.9 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Takanini candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Elliot Ikilei | New Zealand First Party | #20 |
| Rima Nakhle Won here in 2023 MP for Takanini | National Party | #44 |
| Kharag Singh 2nd in Botany in 2023 | Labour Party | #60 |
| Paul Teio | New Zealand Loyal | #2 |
| Lynley Tulloch | Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand | #8 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.