Electorates › Hamilton West
Hamilton West
General electorate · Safe · 17.3 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Tama William Potaka (National) won Hamilton West by 6,488 votes over Myra Williamson (Labour). The candidate vote split National 46.8% to Labour 29.6%, a margin of 17.3 points.
The 2023 winner, Tama William Potaka, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 41.4%, ahead of Labour on 26.4%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 8.7 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 9.1 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Hamilton West candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lee Couper | New World Order McCann Party | – |
| Louise Hutt | Green Party | #19 |
| Steve Phelps | Independent | – |
| Donna Pokere-Phillips | NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party | #6 |
| Tama William Potaka Won here in 2023 Sitting MP | National Party | #11 |
| Blair Smith | Opportunity Party | #35 |
| Kevin Stone | New Zealand First Party | #43 |
| Wiremu Thomson | Independent | – |
| Myra Williamson 2nd here in 2023 | Labour Party | #59 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.