Electorates › New Plymouth
New Plymouth
General electorate · Safe · 16.5 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, David MacLeod (National) won New Plymouth by 6,991 votes over Glen Bennett (Labour). The candidate vote split National 52.9% to Labour 36.5%, a margin of 16.5 points.
The 2023 winner, David MacLeod, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 42.2%, ahead of Labour on 24.2%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 8.3 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 8.3 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
New Plymouth candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Clinton-Gohdes | Labour Party | #58 |
| Rusty Kane | Independent | – |
| Sarah Lucas | Opportunity Party | #7 |
| David MacLeod Won here in 2023 MP for New Plymouth | National Party | #45 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.