Electorates › Coromandel
Coromandel
General electorate · Safe · 37.5 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Scott Simpson (National) won Coromandel by 17,349 votes over Beryl Riley (Labour). The candidate vote split National 54.3% to Labour 16.7%, a margin of 37.5 points.
The 2023 winner, Scott Simpson, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 43.1%, ahead of Labour on 19.7%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 18.8 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 29.3 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Coromandel candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andersen | New Zealand First Party | #30 |
| Glen Bennett 2nd in New Plymouth in 2023 List MP | Labour Party | #25 |
| Ray Cobb | NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party | #8 |
| Pamela Grealey | Green Party | #32 |
| Steven Hart | Independent | – |
| Mike McCormick | ACT New Zealand | – |
| Scott Simpson Won here in 2023 MP for Coromandel | National Party | #18 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.