Electorates › Ikaroa-Rāwhiti
Ikaroa-Rāwhiti
Māori electorate · boundaries changed in 2025 · Fairly safe · 9.8 pts on 2026 boundaries (est.)
Election day. While voting is open (until 7pm), this page shows only who's standing. Past results and everything else return when polls close at 7pm. Find your nearest voting place
The 2023 result
In 2023, Cushla Tangaere-Manuel (Labour) won Ikaroa-Rāwhiti by 2,874 votes over Meka Whaitiri (Te Pāti Māori). The candidate vote split Labour 54.1% to Te Pāti Māori 42.8%, a margin of 11.3 points. Its boundaries have changed for 2026, so the 2026 seat isn't exactly the same area that voted in 2023.
The 2023 winner, Cushla Tangaere-Manuel, is standing again.
On the party vote, Labour led with 55.7%, ahead of Te Pāti Māori on 25.4%.
What it would take to change hands
On the 2026 boundaries, the 2023 votes would put Labour 9.8 points ahead of Te Pāti Māori (an estimate by The Tally Room). Te Pāti Māori would need a swing of about 4.9 points from Labour to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Māori electorates often move differently from the national party vote, so the calculator keeps them with their 2023 party unless you choose otherwise.
Ikaroa-Rāwhiti candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Haley Maxwell | Te Pāti Māori | – |
| Cushla Tangaere-Manuel Won here in 2023 MP for Ikaroa-Rāwhiti | Labour Party | #9 |
| Heather Te Au-Skipworth | Green Party | #21 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.