Electorates › Te Tai Tokerau
Te Tai Tokerau
Māori electorate · Knife-edge · 1.9 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi (Te Pāti Māori) won Te Tai Tokerau by 517 votes over Kelvin Davis (Labour). The candidate vote split Te Pāti Māori 38.8% to Labour 36.9%, a margin of 1.9 points.
The 2023 winner, Mariameno Kapa-Kingi, is standing again here, but now for Te Tai Tokerau Party.
On the party vote, Labour led with 44.4%, ahead of Te Pāti Māori on 27.0%. That's a split: voters gave the seat to Te Pāti Māori but more of their party votes to Labour, so the local candidate's own pull matters.
Worth knowing: 2023 winner (Te Pāti Māori) has since left the party (now Te Tai Tokerau Party). The calculator's default pick is the Te Pāti Māori candidate.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 1.0 points from Te Pāti Māori to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Māori electorates often move differently from the national party vote, so the calculator keeps them with their 2023 party unless you choose otherwise.
Te Tai Tokerau candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Karl Barkley | Your PIC Party | – |
| Aperahama Edwards | Te Pāti Māori | – |
| Maki Herbert | Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party | #1 |
| Mariameno Kapa-Kingi Won here in 2023 MP for Te Tai Tokerau | Te Tai Tokerau Party | #2 |
| Hūhana Lyndon List MP | Green Party | #7 |
| Willow-Jean Prime 2nd in Northland in 2023 List MP | Labour Party | #7 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.