Electorates › Maungakiekie
Maungakiekie
General electorate · boundaries changed in 2025 · Safe · 11.5 pts on 2026 boundaries (est.)
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Greg Fleming (National) won Maungakiekie by 4,617 votes over Priyanca Radhakrishnan (Labour). The candidate vote split National 48.4% to Labour 35.2%, a margin of 13.2 points. Its boundaries have changed for 2026, so the 2026 seat isn't exactly the same area that voted in 2023.
The 2023 winner, Greg Fleming, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 41.6%, ahead of Labour on 27.3%.
What it would take to change hands
On the 2026 boundaries, the 2023 votes would put National 11.5 points ahead of Labour (an estimate by The Tally Room). Labour would need a swing of about 5.8 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 3.3 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Maungakiekie candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alvarez de Lugo | ACT New Zealand | #25 |
| Greg Fleming Won here in 2023 MP for Maungakiekie | National Party | #43 |
| Keegan Langeveld | New Zealand First Party | #36 |
| Derrick Paull | Opportunity Party | #23 |
| Adam Powell | Green Party | #36 |
| Priyanca Radhakrishnan 2nd here in 2023 List MP | Labour Party | #18 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.