Electorates › Taupō
Taupō
General electorate · Safe · 38.4 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Louise Claire Upston (National) won Taupō by 16,505 votes over Aladdin Al-Bustanji (Labour). The candidate vote split National 57.8% to Labour 19.4%, a margin of 38.4 points.
The 2023 winner, Louise Claire Upston, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 45.5%, ahead of Labour on 22.1%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 19.2 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 30.2 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Taupō candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flatt | Labour Party | #20 |
| Celine Kearney | Green Party | – |
| Itania Nikolao | Independent | – |
| Sam Plummer | Opportunity Party | #34 |
| Louise Claire Upston Won here in 2023 Sitting MP | National Party | #7 |
| Gordon Wilson | New Zealand Loyal | #13 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.