Electorates › Ōtāhuhu
Ōtāhuhu
General electorate · boundaries changed in 2025 · Safe · 28.6 pts on 2026 boundaries (est.)
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Jenny Salesa (Labour) won Panmure-Ōtāhuhu by 7,970 votes over Navtej Randhawa (National). The seat was called Panmure-Ōtāhuhu before the 2025 boundary review. The candidate vote split Labour 53.1% to National 25.5%, a margin of 27.6 points. Its boundaries have changed for 2026, so the 2026 seat isn't exactly the same area that voted in 2023.
The 2023 winner, Jenny Salesa, is standing again.
On the party vote, Labour led with 52.7%, ahead of National on 26.6%.
What it would take to change hands
On the 2026 boundaries, the 2023 votes would put Labour 28.6 points ahead of National (an estimate by The Tally Room). National would need a swing of about 14.3 points from Labour to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has National down 10.0 points on the party vote and Labour up 1.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), Labour would hold it by about 36.8 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Ōtāhuhu candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| John Alcock | New Zealand Loyal | #9 |
| Lalit Arya | National Party | #58 |
| Henrietta Devoe | ACT New Zealand | #21 |
| Phillip Harry Faleu | Independent | – |
| Eseta Haunga | People's Party New Zealand | – |
| Adam MacRae-Martin | Opportunity Party | #18 |
| Karl Mokaraka | Vision New Zealand | #4 |
| James Gordon Robb | Independent | – |
| Jenny Salesa Won here in 2023 MP for Panmure-Ōtāhuhu | Labour Party | #24 |
| Te Whatanui Leka Skipwith | Green Party | #30 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.