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Waitaki
General electorate · Safe · 27.8 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, Miles John Anderson (National) won Waitaki by 12,151 votes over Ethan Reille (Labour). The candidate vote split National 51.8% to Labour 24.0%, a margin of 27.8 points.
The 2023 winner, Miles John Anderson, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 43.4%, ahead of Labour on 21.6%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 13.9 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 19.6 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Waitaki candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Miles John Anderson Won here in 2023 Sitting MP | National Party | #46 |
| Sean Beamish | ACT New Zealand | #45 |
| Adrian Daegal Graamans | Independent | – |
| Bronwyn Judge | Independent | – |
| Michael Laws | New Zealand First Party | #6 |
| Damien O'Connor 2nd in West Coast-Tasman in 2023 List MP | Labour Party | #16 |
| Daniel Shand | Independent | – |
| Helen Tait | Opportunity Party | #16 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.