Electorates › Rangitata
Rangitata
General electorate · Safe · 27.1 pts in 2023
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The 2023 result
In 2023, James Meager (National) won Rangitata by 10,846 votes over Jo Luxton (Labour). The candidate vote split National 57.0% to Labour 29.9%, a margin of 27.1 points.
The 2023 winner, James Meager, is standing again.
On the party vote, National led with 44.9%, ahead of Labour on 26.4%.
What it would take to change hands
Labour would need a swing of about 13.6 points from National to take it: each point that moves from one to the other closes the gap by two.
Since 2023, the current poll average has Labour up 1.0 points on the party vote and National down 10.0. If three-quarters of that change carried through to the candidate vote here (the calculator's default), National would hold it by about 18.9 points.
A simple uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast: local candidates, tactical voting and the polls' margins of error all matter. About the poll average.
Rangitata candidates 2026
| Candidate | Party | List |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Allred | ACT New Zealand | #37 |
| Matt Harris | Opportunity Party | #30 |
| Sange Malama | Labour Party | #63 |
| Kevin McCracken | NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party | #15 |
| James Meager Won here in 2023 MP for Rangitata | National Party | #17 |
| Isaac Nicholson | New Zealand First Party | #38 |
| Dave Richards | Green Party | #42 |
| Karl Thomas | Conservative Party NZ | #2 |
"List" is the candidate's place on their party's list, if they're also on it. Candidates as nominated with the Electoral Commission.